SK Gjovik-Lyn vs Lillehammer Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
SK Gjovik-Lyn vs Lillehammer
Model pick: Lillehammer (84%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.12 – 4.4
Total goals: 5.5
Over 2.5: 79%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SK Gjovik-Lyn | Lillehammer |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 1.5 |
*SK Gjovik-Lyn shown at home, Lillehammer shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SK Gjovik-Lyn — last 5
LW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Lillehammer — last 5
WW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SK Gjovik-Lyn (home) | Lillehammer (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.78
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 13%
Away wins: 42%
Over 2.5: 81%
BTTS: 74%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.12 vs 4.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-4 (7%) |
| Double chance — SK Gjovik-Lyn or draw (1X) | 11% |
| Double chance — Lillehammer or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| SK Gjovik-Lyn clean sheet | 1% |
| Lillehammer clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lillehammer is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. Despite playing away, Lillehammer edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.5, this shapes as an open game (79% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SK Gjovik-Lyn vs Lillehammer — FAQ
Who will win SK Gjovik-Lyn vs Lillehammer?
Our statistical model makes Lillehammer the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: SK Gjovik-Lyn 6%, draw 9%, Lillehammer 84%.
Will both teams score in SK Gjovik-Lyn vs Lillehammer?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in SK Gjovik-Lyn vs Lillehammer?
Expected goals are 1.12 for SK Gjovik-Lyn and 4.4 for Lillehammer — about 5.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SK Gjovik-Lyn vs Lillehammer?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-4 (7%). Double chance for SK Gjovik-Lyn or draw is 11%.