SK Hranice vs Nove Mesto na Morave Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
SK Hranice vs Nove Mesto na Morave
Model pick: SK Hranice (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.31 – 0.42
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SK Hranice | Nove Mesto na Morave |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*SK Hranice shown at home, Nove Mesto na Morave shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SK Hranice — last 5
LLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Nove Mesto na Morave — last 5
DLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SK Hranice (home) | Nove Mesto na Morave (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.06
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.31 vs 0.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (23%) |
| Double chance — SK Hranice or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Nove Mesto na Morave or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 52% / 48% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| SK Hranice clean sheet | 66% |
| Nove Mesto na Morave clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
SK Hranice is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. SK Hranice are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SK Hranice vs Nove Mesto na Morave — FAQ
Who will win SK Hranice vs Nove Mesto na Morave?
Our statistical model makes SK Hranice the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: SK Hranice 56%, draw 30%, Nove Mesto na Morave 14%.
Will both teams score in SK Hranice vs Nove Mesto na Morave?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in SK Hranice vs Nove Mesto na Morave?
Expected goals are 1.31 for SK Hranice and 0.42 for Nove Mesto na Morave — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SK Hranice vs Nove Mesto na Morave?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (23%). Double chance for SK Hranice or draw is 88%.