SK St. Johann vs Dornbirn Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
SK St. Johann vs Dornbirn
Model pick: SK St. Johann (80%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 8.65 – 3.87
Total goals: 12.5
Over 2.5: 65%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SK St. Johann | Dornbirn |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.33 / 2.0 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
*SK St. Johann shown at home, Dornbirn shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SK St. Johann — last 5
WLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Dornbirn — last 5
WLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SK St. Johann (home) | Dornbirn (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 55% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 49%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (8.65 vs 3.87):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-3 (6%) |
| Double chance — SK St. Johann or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Dornbirn or draw (X2) | 20% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| SK St. Johann clean sheet | 2% |
| Dornbirn clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
SK St. Johann is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. SK St. Johann are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 12.5, this shapes as an open game (65% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SK St. Johann vs Dornbirn — FAQ
Who will win SK St. Johann vs Dornbirn?
Our statistical model makes SK St. Johann the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: SK St. Johann 80%, draw 9%, Dornbirn 11%.
Will both teams score in SK St. Johann vs Dornbirn?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in SK St. Johann vs Dornbirn?
Expected goals are 8.65 for SK St. Johann and 3.87 for Dornbirn — about 12.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SK St. Johann vs Dornbirn?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-3 (6%). Double chance for SK St. Johann or draw is 89%.