SK St. Johann vs Reichenau Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
SK St. Johann vs Reichenau
Model pick: Draw (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.44 – 0.07
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 9%
Both teams score: 16%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SK St. Johann | Reichenau |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.75 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 2.0 |
*SK St. Johann shown at home, Reichenau shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SK St. Johann — last 5
WLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Reichenau — last 5
LLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SK St. Johann (home) | Reichenau (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.8
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.44 vs 0.07):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (60%) |
| Double chance — SK St. Johann or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Reichenau or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 38% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| SK St. Johann clean sheet | 93% |
| Reichenau clean sheet | 64% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (91% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SK St. Johann vs Reichenau — FAQ
Who will win SK St. Johann vs Reichenau?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: SK St. Johann 35%, draw 58%, Reichenau 6%.
Will both teams score in SK St. Johann vs Reichenau?
The model gives a 16% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in SK St. Johann vs Reichenau?
Expected goals are 0.44 for SK St. Johann and 0.07 for Reichenau — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SK St. Johann vs Reichenau?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (60%). Double chance for SK St. Johann or draw is 96%.