SK St. Johann vs Tirol Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
SK St. Johann vs Tirol
Model pick: SK St. Johann (61%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.89 – 0.69
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SK St. Johann | Tirol |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.0 | 0.5 / 1.75 |
*SK St. Johann shown at home, Tirol shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SK St. Johann — last 5
WLWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Tirol — last 5
LDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SK St. Johann (home) | Tirol (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 33% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.32
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.89 vs 0.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — SK St. Johann or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Tirol or draw (X2) | 34% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| SK St. Johann clean sheet | 50% |
| Tirol clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
SK St. Johann is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. SK St. Johann are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SK St. Johann vs Tirol — FAQ
Who will win SK St. Johann vs Tirol?
Our statistical model makes SK St. Johann the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: SK St. Johann 61%, draw 23%, Tirol 15%.
Will both teams score in SK St. Johann vs Tirol?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in SK St. Johann vs Tirol?
Expected goals are 1.89 for SK St. Johann and 0.69 for Tirol — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SK St. Johann vs Tirol?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for SK St. Johann or draw is 87%.