Skövde AIK vs Trelleborg Prediction & Preview
Division 1 (Sweden) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 1 (SWEDEN)
Skövde AIK vs Trelleborg
Model pick: Skövde AIK (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.19 – 1.02
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Skövde AIK | Trelleborg |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #4 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
*Skövde AIK shown at home, Trelleborg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Skövde AIK — last 5
DLWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Trelleborg — last 5
DWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Skövde AIK (home) | Trelleborg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 55% |
Division 1 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.11
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 1 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.19 vs 1.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Skövde AIK or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Trelleborg or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Skövde AIK clean sheet | 36% |
| Trelleborg clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Skövde AIK is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Skövde AIK are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Skövde AIK vs Trelleborg — FAQ
Who will win Skövde AIK vs Trelleborg?
Our statistical model makes Skövde AIK the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Skövde AIK 39%, draw 30%, Trelleborg 32%.
Will both teams score in Skövde AIK vs Trelleborg?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Skövde AIK vs Trelleborg?
Expected goals are 1.19 for Skövde AIK and 1.02 for Trelleborg — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Skövde AIK vs Trelleborg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Skövde AIK or draw is 69%.