SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 04:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk
Model pick: FK Shumbrat Saransk (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.63 – 2.65
Total goals: 4.3
Over 2.5: 69%
Both teams score: 65%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SKA Khabarovsk 2 | FK Shumbrat Saransk |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.67 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 |
*SKA Khabarovsk 2 shown at home, FK Shumbrat Saransk shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SKA Khabarovsk 2 — last 5
LWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
FK Shumbrat Saransk — last 5
DLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SKA Khabarovsk 2 (home) | FK Shumbrat Saransk (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.63 vs 2.65):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — SKA Khabarovsk 2 or draw (1X) | 41% |
| Double chance — FK Shumbrat Saransk or draw (X2) | 77% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| SKA Khabarovsk 2 clean sheet | 7% |
| FK Shumbrat Saransk clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FK Shumbrat Saransk is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, FK Shumbrat Saransk edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.3, this shapes as an open game (69% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk — FAQ
Who will win SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk?
Our statistical model makes FK Shumbrat Saransk the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: SKA Khabarovsk 2 24%, draw 20%, FK Shumbrat Saransk 56%.
Will both teams score in SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk?
The model gives a 65% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk?
Expected goals are 1.63 for SKA Khabarovsk 2 and 2.65 for FK Shumbrat Saransk — about 4.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SKA Khabarovsk 2 vs FK Shumbrat Saransk?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for SKA Khabarovsk 2 or draw is 41%.