Skalica vs FC Košice Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Slovakia) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Skalica vs FC Košice
Model pick: FC Košice (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.42 – 1.34
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Skalica | FC Košice |
|---|
| League position | #2 (7 pts) | #7 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 |
*Skalica shown at home, FC Košice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Skalica — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 45% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
FC Košice — last 5
DWLDD
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Skalica (home) | FC Košice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (4.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 45% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 52% |
Super Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.76
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Super Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.42 vs 1.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Skalica or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — FC Košice or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Skalica clean sheet | 26% |
| FC Košice clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC Košice is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, FC Košice edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Skalica vs FC Košice — FAQ
Who will win Skalica vs FC Košice?
Our statistical model makes FC Košice the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Skalica 34%, draw 27%, FC Košice 39%.
Will both teams score in Skalica vs FC Košice?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Skalica vs FC Košice?
Expected goals are 1.42 for Skalica and 1.34 for FC Košice — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Skalica vs FC Košice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Skalica or draw is 65%.