Skara vs Vanersborgs IF Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Skara vs Vanersborgs IF
Model pick: Skara (84%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.7 – 0.26
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 37%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Skara | Vanersborgs IF |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 2.5 |
*Skara shown at home, Vanersborgs IF shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Skara — last 5
DWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Vanersborgs IF — last 5
DLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Skara (home) | Vanersborgs IF (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.33
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.7 vs 0.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Skara or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Vanersborgs IF or draw (X2) | 12% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 90% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Skara clean sheet | 77% |
| Vanersborgs IF clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Skara is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. Skara are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Skara vs Vanersborgs IF — FAQ
Who will win Skara vs Vanersborgs IF?
Our statistical model makes Skara the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: Skara 84%, draw 13%, Vanersborgs IF 4%.
Will both teams score in Skara vs Vanersborgs IF?
The model gives a 37% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Skara vs Vanersborgs IF?
Expected goals are 2.7 for Skara and 0.26 for Vanersborgs IF — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Skara vs Vanersborgs IF?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (19%). Double chance for Skara or draw is 98%.