Skjervoy vs Kongsvinger 2 Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Skjervoy vs Kongsvinger 2
Model pick: Skjervoy (79%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.2 – 2.0
Total goals: 7.2
Over 2.5: 85%
Both teams score: 71%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Skjervoy | Kongsvinger 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 3.25 | 2.0 / 3.4 |
*Skjervoy shown at home, Kongsvinger 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Skjervoy — last 5
WWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Kongsvinger 2 — last 5
LWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Skjervoy (home) | Kongsvinger 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.59
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 70%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.2 vs 2.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-1 (5%) |
| Double chance — Skjervoy or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Kongsvinger 2 or draw (X2) | 17% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Skjervoy clean sheet | 14% |
| Kongsvinger 2 clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Skjervoy is the model's most likely outcome at
79%. Skjervoy are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 7.2, this shapes as an open game (85% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Skjervoy vs Kongsvinger 2 — FAQ
Who will win Skjervoy vs Kongsvinger 2?
Our statistical model makes Skjervoy the most likely result at 79%. Full probabilities: Skjervoy 79%, draw 10%, Kongsvinger 2 10%.
Will both teams score in Skjervoy vs Kongsvinger 2?
The model gives a 71% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Skjervoy vs Kongsvinger 2?
Expected goals are 5.2 for Skjervoy and 2.0 for Kongsvinger 2 — about 7.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Skjervoy vs Kongsvinger 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-1 (5%). Double chance for Skjervoy or draw is 92%.