Slavia Praha vs Pardubice Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Slavia Praha vs Pardubice
Model pick: Slavia Praha (77%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.9 – 0.58
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Slavia Praha | Pardubice |
|---|
| League position | #1 (6 pts) | #16 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 5.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Slavia Praha shown at home, Pardubice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Slavia Praha — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 54% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
Pardubice — last 5
DLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Slavia Praha (home) | Pardubice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (5.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 54% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 54% |
| Top scorer | Lukas Haraslin (12) | Vojtech Patrak (6) |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.9 vs 0.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Slavia Praha or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — Pardubice or draw (X2) | 16% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Slavia Praha clean sheet | 56% |
| Pardubice clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Slavia Praha is the model's most likely outcome at
77%. Slavia Praha are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Slavia Praha vs Pardubice — FAQ
Who will win Slavia Praha vs Pardubice?
Our statistical model makes Slavia Praha the most likely result at 77%. Full probabilities: Slavia Praha 77%, draw 15%, Pardubice 8%.
Will both teams score in Slavia Praha vs Pardubice?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Slavia Praha vs Pardubice?
Expected goals are 2.9 for Slavia Praha and 0.58 for Pardubice — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Slavia Praha vs Pardubice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (13%). Double chance for Slavia Praha or draw is 95%.