Sleza Wroclaw vs Rakow II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Sleza Wroclaw vs Rakow II
Model pick: Sleza Wroclaw (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.85 – 2.27
Total goals: 5.1
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 71%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sleza Wroclaw | Rakow II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.4 | 0.6 / 2.0 |
*Sleza Wroclaw shown at home, Rakow II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sleza Wroclaw — last 5
LWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Rakow II — last 5
LDLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sleza Wroclaw (home) | Rakow II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.85 vs 2.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — Sleza Wroclaw or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Rakow II or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Sleza Wroclaw clean sheet | 10% |
| Rakow II clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sleza Wroclaw is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Sleza Wroclaw are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.1, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sleza Wroclaw vs Rakow II — FAQ
Who will win Sleza Wroclaw vs Rakow II?
Our statistical model makes Sleza Wroclaw the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Sleza Wroclaw 48%, draw 20%, Rakow II 32%.
Will both teams score in Sleza Wroclaw vs Rakow II?
The model gives a 71% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sleza Wroclaw vs Rakow II?
Expected goals are 2.85 for Sleza Wroclaw and 2.27 for Rakow II — about 5.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sleza Wroclaw vs Rakow II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (6%). Double chance for Sleza Wroclaw or draw is 69%.