Slovácko vs Pardubice Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Slovácko vs Pardubice
Model pick: Slovácko (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.33 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Slovácko | Pardubice |
|---|
| League position | #14 (2 pts) | #15 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.5 | 1.0 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Slovácko shown at home, Pardubice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Slovácko — last 5
DLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Pardubice — last 5
LDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Slovácko (home) | Pardubice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (1.0 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-0-3 in 3 (1.0 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 55% |
| Top scorer | Patrik Blahut (4) | Vojtech Patrak (6) |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.33 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Slovácko or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Pardubice or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Slovácko clean sheet | 35% |
| Pardubice clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Slovácko is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Slovácko are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Slovácko vs Pardubice — FAQ
Who will win Slovácko vs Pardubice?
Our statistical model makes Slovácko the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Slovácko 39%, draw 28%, Pardubice 33%.
Will both teams score in Slovácko vs Pardubice?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Slovácko vs Pardubice?
Expected goals are 1.33 for Slovácko and 1.06 for Pardubice — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Slovácko vs Pardubice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Slovácko or draw is 70%.