Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Králové Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Králové
Model pick: Slovan Liberec (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.19 – 0.96
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Slovan Liberec | Hradec Králové |
|---|
| League position | #4 (10 pts) | #8 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.0 |
*Slovan Liberec shown at home, Hradec Králové shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Slovan Liberec — last 5
WLWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Hradec Králové — last 5
DLWLD
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Slovan Liberec (home) | Hradec Králové (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.5 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 52% |
| Top scorer | Raimonds Krollis (7) | Vladimir Darida (5) |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.19 vs 0.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Slovan Liberec or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Hradec Králové or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Slovan Liberec clean sheet | 38% |
| Hradec Králové clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Slovan Liberec is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Slovan Liberec are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Králové — FAQ
Who will win Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Králové?
Our statistical model makes Slovan Liberec the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Slovan Liberec 40%, draw 30%, Hradec Králové 30%.
Will both teams score in Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Králové?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Králové?
Expected goals are 1.19 for Slovan Liberec and 0.96 for Hradec Králové — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Králové?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Slovan Liberec or draw is 70%.