Slovan Liberec vs Teplice Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Slovan Liberec vs Teplice
Model pick: Slovan Liberec (54%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.5 – 0.87
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Slovan Liberec | Teplice |
|---|
| League position | #6 (0 pts) | #13 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
*Slovan Liberec shown at home, Teplice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Slovan Liberec — last 5
LDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Teplice — last 5
WDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Slovan Liberec (home) | Teplice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Raimonds Krollis (7) | Michal Bilek (7) |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.5 vs 0.87):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Slovan Liberec or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Teplice or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Slovan Liberec clean sheet | 42% |
| Teplice clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Slovan Liberec is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Slovan Liberec are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Slovan Liberec vs Teplice — FAQ
Who will win Slovan Liberec vs Teplice?
Our statistical model makes Slovan Liberec the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Slovan Liberec 54%, draw 26%, Teplice 20%.
Will both teams score in Slovan Liberec vs Teplice?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Slovan Liberec vs Teplice?
Expected goals are 1.5 for Slovan Liberec and 0.87 for Teplice — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Slovan Liberec vs Teplice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Slovan Liberec or draw is 78%.