Sogndal 2 vs Fana Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Sogndal 2 vs Fana
Model pick: Fana (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.56 – 5.93
Total goals: 10.5
Over 2.5: 85%
Both teams score: 80%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sogndal 2 | Fana |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.5 / 3.5 | 3.33 / 2.33 |
*Sogndal 2 shown at home, Fana shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sogndal 2 — last 5
DD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Fana — last 5
WLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sogndal 2 (home) | Fana (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.73
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 78%
BTTS: 69%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.56 vs 5.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-5 (4%) |
| Double chance — Sogndal 2 or draw (1X) | 43% |
| Double chance — Fana or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Sogndal 2 clean sheet | 0% |
| Fana clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fana is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, Fana edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 10.5, this shapes as an open game (85% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sogndal 2 vs Fana — FAQ
Who will win Sogndal 2 vs Fana?
Our statistical model makes Fana the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Sogndal 2 30%, draw 14%, Fana 56%.
Will both teams score in Sogndal 2 vs Fana?
The model gives a 80% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sogndal 2 vs Fana?
Expected goals are 4.56 for Sogndal 2 and 5.93 for Fana — about 10.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sogndal 2 vs Fana?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-5 (4%). Double chance for Sogndal 2 or draw is 43%.