Sogndal 2 vs Fyllingsdalen Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Sogndal 2 vs Fyllingsdalen
Model pick: Sogndal 2 (90%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.81 – 0.4
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sogndal 2 | Fyllingsdalen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 2.2 | 0.4 / 2.6 |
*Sogndal 2 shown at home, Fyllingsdalen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sogndal 2 — last 5
DDDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Fyllingsdalen — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sogndal 2 (home) | Fyllingsdalen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.58
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 79%
BTTS: 69%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.81 vs 0.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Sogndal 2 or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Fyllingsdalen or draw (X2) | 6% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 95% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Sogndal 2 clean sheet | 67% |
| Fyllingsdalen clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sogndal 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
90%. Sogndal 2 are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sogndal 2 vs Fyllingsdalen — FAQ
Who will win Sogndal 2 vs Fyllingsdalen?
Our statistical model makes Sogndal 2 the most likely result at 90%. Full probabilities: Sogndal 2 90%, draw 7%, Fyllingsdalen 2%.
Will both teams score in Sogndal 2 vs Fyllingsdalen?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sogndal 2 vs Fyllingsdalen?
Expected goals are 3.81 for Sogndal 2 and 0.4 for Fyllingsdalen — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sogndal 2 vs Fyllingsdalen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (14%). Double chance for Sogndal 2 or draw is 99%.