Sokolov vs Vlašim Prediction & Preview
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECHIA CUP (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Sokolov vs Vlašim
Model pick: Vlašim (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.2 – 1.29
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sokolov | Vlašim |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #8 (5 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.0 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 0.5 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
*Sokolov shown at home, Vlašim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sokolov — last 5
WWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Vlašim — last 5
DLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 71% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sokolov (home) | Vlašim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-2-1 in 3 (1.0 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 71% |
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.95
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 66%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.2 vs 1.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Sokolov or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Vlašim or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Sokolov clean sheet | 28% |
| Vlašim clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vlašim is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Vlašim edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sokolov vs Vlašim — FAQ
Who will win Sokolov vs Vlašim?
Our statistical model makes Vlašim the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Sokolov 34%, draw 28%, Vlašim 38%.
Will both teams score in Sokolov vs Vlašim?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sokolov vs Vlašim?
Expected goals are 1.2 for Sokolov and 1.29 for Vlašim — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sokolov vs Vlašim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Sokolov or draw is 61%.