Sol de America vs Bartolome Mitre Prediction & Preview
Argentino A (Argentina) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO A (ARGENTINA)
Sol de America vs Bartolome Mitre
Model pick: Draw (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.73 – 0.44
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 25%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sol de America | Bartolome Mitre |
|---|
| League position | #3 (26 pts) | #2 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 75% | 29% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.75 |
*Sol de America shown at home, Bartolome Mitre shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sol de America — last 5
WWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Bartolome Mitre — last 5
WLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sol de America (home) | Bartolome Mitre (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-1-1 in 8 (1.8 / 0.6 goals per game) | 2-2-3 in 7 (0.9 / 0.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
Argentino A (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.04
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 23%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 39%
Use these Argentino A (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.73 vs 0.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (31%) |
| Double chance — Sol de America or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Bartolome Mitre or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 58% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Sol de America clean sheet | 64% |
| Bartolome Mitre clean sheet | 48% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (75% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sol de America vs Bartolome Mitre — FAQ
Who will win Sol de America vs Bartolome Mitre?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Sol de America 38%, draw 41%, Bartolome Mitre 22%.
Will both teams score in Sol de America vs Bartolome Mitre?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sol de America vs Bartolome Mitre?
Expected goals are 0.73 for Sol de America and 0.44 for Bartolome Mitre — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sol de America vs Bartolome Mitre?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (31%). Double chance for Sol de America or draw is 80%.