Sollentuna vs Gefle Prediction & Preview
Division 1 (Sweden) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 1 (SWEDEN)
Sollentuna vs Gefle
Model pick: Sollentuna (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.42 – 1.35
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sollentuna | Gefle |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.2 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Sollentuna shown at home, Gefle shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sollentuna — last 5
LWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 80% of home games go over 2.5.
Gefle — last 5
WLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sollentuna (home) | Gefle (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 56% |
Division 1 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 59%
Use these Division 1 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.42 vs 1.35):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Sollentuna or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Gefle or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Sollentuna clean sheet | 26% |
| Gefle clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sollentuna is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Sollentuna are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Sollentuna vs Gefle — FAQ
Who will win Sollentuna vs Gefle?
Our statistical model makes Sollentuna the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Sollentuna 38%, draw 26%, Gefle 36%.
Will both teams score in Sollentuna vs Gefle?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sollentuna vs Gefle?
Expected goals are 1.42 for Sollentuna and 1.35 for Gefle — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sollentuna vs Gefle?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Sollentuna or draw is 64%.