Sopron vs Tatabanya Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Sopron vs Tatabanya
Model pick: Tatabanya (85%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.34 – 3.04
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sopron | Tatabanya |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 1.75 | 2.5 / 1.0 |
*Sopron shown at home, Tatabanya shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sopron — last 5
LDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Tatabanya — last 5
LW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sopron (home) | Tatabanya (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.34 vs 3.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (16%) |
| Double chance — Sopron or draw (1X) | 10% |
| Double chance — Tatabanya or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Sopron clean sheet | 5% |
| Tatabanya clean sheet | 71% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tatabanya is the model's most likely outcome at
85%. Despite playing away, Tatabanya edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sopron vs Tatabanya — FAQ
Who will win Sopron vs Tatabanya?
Our statistical model makes Tatabanya the most likely result at 85%. Full probabilities: Sopron 4%, draw 11%, Tatabanya 85%.
Will both teams score in Sopron vs Tatabanya?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sopron vs Tatabanya?
Expected goals are 0.34 for Sopron and 3.04 for Tatabanya — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sopron vs Tatabanya?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (16%). Double chance for Sopron or draw is 10%.