Sotra vs Vidar Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Norway) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (NORWAY)
Sotra vs Vidar
Model pick: Sotra (95%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.55 – 0.34
Total goals: 4.9
Over 2.5: 74%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sotra | Vidar |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 2.6 |
*Sotra shown at home, Vidar shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sotra — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Vidar — last 5
WLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sotra (home) | Vidar (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 75% |
Division 2 (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.56
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 42%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.55 vs 0.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Sotra or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Vidar or draw (X2) | 3% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Sotra clean sheet | 71% |
| Vidar clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sotra is the model's most likely outcome at
95%. Sotra are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.9, this shapes as an open game (74% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sotra vs Vidar — FAQ
Who will win Sotra vs Vidar?
Our statistical model makes Sotra the most likely result at 95%. Full probabilities: Sotra 95%, draw 4%, Vidar 1%.
Will both teams score in Sotra vs Vidar?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sotra vs Vidar?
Expected goals are 4.55 for Sotra and 0.34 for Vidar — about 4.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sotra vs Vidar?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (14%). Double chance for Sotra or draw is 99%.