Sparta Brno vs Lanzhot Prediction & Preview
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECHIA CUP (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Sparta Brno vs Lanzhot
Model pick: Draw (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.17 – 0.36
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 10%
Both teams score: 21%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sparta Brno | Lanzhot |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 |
*Sparta Brno shown at home, Lanzhot shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sparta Brno — last 5
WL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Lanzhot — last 5
WD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sparta Brno (home) | Lanzhot (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 61%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.17 vs 0.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (59%) |
| Double chance — Sparta Brno or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Lanzhot or draw (X2) | 89% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 37% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Sparta Brno clean sheet | 70% |
| Lanzhot clean sheet | 84% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (90% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sparta Brno vs Lanzhot — FAQ
Who will win Sparta Brno vs Lanzhot?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Sparta Brno 14%, draw 58%, Lanzhot 28%.
Will both teams score in Sparta Brno vs Lanzhot?
The model gives a 21% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sparta Brno vs Lanzhot?
Expected goals are 0.17 for Sparta Brno and 0.36 for Lanzhot — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sparta Brno vs Lanzhot?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (59%). Double chance for Sparta Brno or draw is 74%.