Sparta Prague B vs Pribram B Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Sparta Prague B vs Pribram B
Model pick: Pribram B (88%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.09 – 2.72
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 26%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sparta Prague B | Pribram B |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.2 | 1.0 / 2.2 |
*Sparta Prague B shown at home, Pribram B shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sparta Prague B — last 5
LWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Pribram B — last 5
LDLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sparta Prague B (home) | Pribram B (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 75% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.04
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.09 vs 2.72):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (22%) |
| Double chance — Sparta Prague B or draw (1X) | 8% |
| Double chance — Pribram B or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Sparta Prague B clean sheet | 7% |
| Pribram B clean sheet | 91% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pribram B is the model's most likely outcome at
88%. Despite playing away, Pribram B edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sparta Prague B vs Pribram B — FAQ
Who will win Sparta Prague B vs Pribram B?
Our statistical model makes Pribram B the most likely result at 88%. Full probabilities: Sparta Prague B 1%, draw 11%, Pribram B 88%.
Will both teams score in Sparta Prague B vs Pribram B?
The model gives a 26% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sparta Prague B vs Pribram B?
Expected goals are 0.09 for Sparta Prague B and 2.72 for Pribram B — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sparta Prague B vs Pribram B?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (22%). Double chance for Sparta Prague B or draw is 8%.