Sparta Praha vs Teplice Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Sparta Praha vs Teplice
Model pick: Sparta Praha (67%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.18 – 0.86
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sparta Praha | Teplice |
|---|
| League position | #10 (3 pts) | #4 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.4 | 3.0 / 1.2 |
*Sparta Praha shown at home, Teplice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sparta Praha — last 5
LLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 61% of home games go over 2.5.
Teplice — last 5
WWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sparta Praha (home) | Teplice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Lukas Haraslin (12) | Michal Bilek (7) |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.18 vs 0.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Sparta Praha or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — Teplice or draw (X2) | 32% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Sparta Praha clean sheet | 42% |
| Teplice clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sparta Praha is the model's most likely outcome at
67%. Sparta Praha are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sparta Praha vs Teplice — FAQ
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Teplice?
Our statistical model makes Sparta Praha the most likely result at 67%. Full probabilities: Sparta Praha 67%, draw 20%, Teplice 13%.
Will both teams score in Sparta Praha vs Teplice?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sparta Praha vs Teplice?
Expected goals are 2.18 for Sparta Praha and 0.86 for Teplice — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sparta Praha vs Teplice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (11%). Double chance for Sparta Praha or draw is 86%.