Spartak Moscow 2 vs Chertanovo M. Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Chertanovo M.
Model pick: Chertanovo M. (54%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.21 – 1.01
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 26%
Both teams score: 30%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Spartak Moscow 2 | Chertanovo M. |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.25 / 0.75 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
*Spartak Moscow 2 shown at home, Chertanovo M. shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Spartak Moscow 2 — last 5
LDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Chertanovo M. — last 5
DLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Spartak Moscow 2 (home) | Chertanovo M. (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 67% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.01
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.21 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (30%) |
| Double chance — Spartak Moscow 2 or draw (1X) | 44% |
| Double chance — Chertanovo M. or draw (X2) | 92% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 64% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Spartak Moscow 2 clean sheet | 36% |
| Chertanovo M. clean sheet | 81% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chertanovo M. is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Despite playing away, Chertanovo M. edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (74% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Spartak Moscow 2 vs Chertanovo M. — FAQ
Who will win Spartak Moscow 2 vs Chertanovo M.?
Our statistical model makes Chertanovo M. the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Spartak Moscow 2 10%, draw 37%, Chertanovo M. 54%.
Will both teams score in Spartak Moscow 2 vs Chertanovo M.?
The model gives a 30% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Spartak Moscow 2 vs Chertanovo M.?
Expected goals are 0.21 for Spartak Moscow 2 and 1.01 for Chertanovo M. — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Spartak Moscow 2 vs Chertanovo M.?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (30%). Double chance for Spartak Moscow 2 or draw is 44%.