Spartak Moscow 2 vs Irkutsk Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 13, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Irkutsk
Model pick: Draw (66%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.12 – 0.25
Total goals: 0.4
Over 2.5: 6%
Both teams score: 16%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Spartak Moscow 2 | Irkutsk |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 1.0 | 0.5 / 2.0 |
*Spartak Moscow 2 shown at home, Irkutsk shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Spartak Moscow 2 — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Irkutsk — last 5
DL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Spartak Moscow 2 (home) | Irkutsk (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.2
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.12 vs 0.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (69%) |
| Double chance — Spartak Moscow 2 or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Irkutsk or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 29% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Spartak Moscow 2 clean sheet | 78% |
| Irkutsk clean sheet | 89% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (94% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Spartak Moscow 2 vs Irkutsk — FAQ
Who will win Spartak Moscow 2 vs Irkutsk?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Spartak Moscow 2 11%, draw 66%, Irkutsk 23%.
Will both teams score in Spartak Moscow 2 vs Irkutsk?
The model gives a 16% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Spartak Moscow 2 vs Irkutsk?
Expected goals are 0.12 for Spartak Moscow 2 and 0.25 for Irkutsk — about 0.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Spartak Moscow 2 vs Irkutsk?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (69%). Double chance for Spartak Moscow 2 or draw is 80%.