Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2 Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2
Model pick: Spartak Tambov (89%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.84 – 0.1
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 27%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Spartak Tambov | Arsenal Tula 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 0.67 | 0.5 / 2.75 |
*Spartak Tambov shown at home, Arsenal Tula 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Spartak Tambov — last 5
WWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Arsenal Tula 2 — last 5
LLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Spartak Tambov (home) | Arsenal Tula 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.12
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.84 vs 0.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Spartak Tambov or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Arsenal Tula 2 or draw (X2) | 8% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Spartak Tambov clean sheet | 90% |
| Arsenal Tula 2 clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Spartak Tambov is the model's most likely outcome at
89%. Spartak Tambov are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2 — FAQ
Who will win Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2?
Our statistical model makes Spartak Tambov the most likely result at 89%. Full probabilities: Spartak Tambov 89%, draw 10%, Arsenal Tula 2 1%.
Will both teams score in Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2?
The model gives a 27% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2?
Expected goals are 2.84 for Spartak Tambov and 0.1 for Arsenal Tula 2 — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (21%). Double chance for Spartak Tambov or draw is 99%.