Spelle-Venhaus vs BSV Rehden Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Spelle-Venhaus vs BSV Rehden
Model pick: Spelle-Venhaus (50%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.5 – 0.83
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Spelle-Venhaus | BSV Rehden |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.0 / 0.5 | 2.67 / 1.0 |
*Spelle-Venhaus shown at home, BSV Rehden shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Spelle-Venhaus — last 5
WW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
BSV Rehden — last 5
WDW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Spelle-Venhaus (home) | BSV Rehden (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.47
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.5 vs 0.83):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Spelle-Venhaus or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — BSV Rehden or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Spelle-Venhaus clean sheet | 44% |
| BSV Rehden clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Spelle-Venhaus is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Spelle-Venhaus are backed at home, where they average 5.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Spelle-Venhaus vs BSV Rehden — FAQ
Who will win Spelle-Venhaus vs BSV Rehden?
Our statistical model makes Spelle-Venhaus the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Spelle-Venhaus 50%, draw 27%, BSV Rehden 23%.
Will both teams score in Spelle-Venhaus vs BSV Rehden?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Spelle-Venhaus vs BSV Rehden?
Expected goals are 1.5 for Spelle-Venhaus and 0.83 for BSV Rehden — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Spelle-Venhaus vs BSV Rehden?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Spelle-Venhaus or draw is 79%.