Spisska Nova Ves vs Podbrezová Prediction & Preview
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SLOVAK CUP (SLOVAKIA)
Spisska Nova Ves vs Podbrezová
Model pick: Podbrezová (63%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.1 – 1.19
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 27%
Both teams score: 24%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Spisska Nova Ves | Podbrezová |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #5 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.3 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.2 | 1.8 / 2.0 |
*Spisska Nova Ves shown at home, Podbrezová shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Spisska Nova Ves — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Podbrezová — last 5
LWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Spisska Nova Ves (home) | Podbrezová (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 1-0-2 in 3 (1.3 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 51% |
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.1
Home wins: 13%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 87%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Slovak Cup (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.1 vs 1.19):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (33%) |
| Double chance — Spisska Nova Ves or draw (1X) | 34% |
| Double chance — Podbrezová or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Spisska Nova Ves clean sheet | 30% |
| Podbrezová clean sheet | 90% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Podbrezová is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. Despite playing away, Podbrezová edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (73% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Spisska Nova Ves vs Podbrezová — FAQ
Who will win Spisska Nova Ves vs Podbrezová?
Our statistical model makes Podbrezová the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Spisska Nova Ves 4%, draw 33%, Podbrezová 63%.
Will both teams score in Spisska Nova Ves vs Podbrezová?
The model gives a 24% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Spisska Nova Ves vs Podbrezová?
Expected goals are 0.1 for Spisska Nova Ves and 1.19 for Podbrezová — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Spisska Nova Ves vs Podbrezová?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (33%). Double chance for Spisska Nova Ves or draw is 34%.