Sport Huancayo vs Los Chankas Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Peru) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (PERU)
Sport Huancayo vs Los Chankas
Model pick: Sport Huancayo (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.83 – 1.04
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sport Huancayo | Los Chankas |
|---|
| League position | #17 (16 pts) | #2 (37 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
*Sport Huancayo shown at home, Los Chankas shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sport Huancayo — last 5
LWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Los Chankas — last 5
WLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 8% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sport Huancayo (home) | Los Chankas (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 8% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 59% |
| Top scorer | Yorleys Mena (5) | Franco Torres (6) |
Primera Division (Peru) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Primera Division (Peru) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.83 vs 1.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Sport Huancayo or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Los Chankas or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Sport Huancayo clean sheet | 35% |
| Los Chankas clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sport Huancayo is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Sport Huancayo are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sport Huancayo vs Los Chankas — FAQ
Who will win Sport Huancayo vs Los Chankas?
Our statistical model makes Sport Huancayo the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Sport Huancayo 56%, draw 24%, Los Chankas 20%.
Will both teams score in Sport Huancayo vs Los Chankas?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sport Huancayo vs Los Chankas?
Expected goals are 1.83 for Sport Huancayo and 1.04 for Los Chankas — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sport Huancayo vs Los Chankas?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Sport Huancayo or draw is 79%.