Sporting San José vs Escorpiones Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Costa Rica) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (COSTA RICA)
Sporting San José vs Escorpiones
Model pick: Escorpiones (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.63 – 1.15
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sporting San José | Escorpiones |
|---|
| League position | #8 (2 pts) | #4 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.6 | 1.33 / 0.67 |
*Sporting San José shown at home, Escorpiones shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sporting San José — last 5
DLDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Escorpiones — last 5
WLD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sporting San José (home) | Escorpiones (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 100% |
Primera Division (Costa Rica) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.7
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Primera Division (Costa Rica) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.63 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (19%) |
| Double chance — Sporting San José or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — Escorpiones or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Sporting San José clean sheet | 32% |
| Escorpiones clean sheet | 53% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Escorpiones is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Escorpiones edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Sporting San José vs Escorpiones — FAQ
Who will win Sporting San José vs Escorpiones?
Our statistical model makes Escorpiones the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Sporting San José 22%, draw 32%, Escorpiones 46%.
Will both teams score in Sporting San José vs Escorpiones?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sporting San José vs Escorpiones?
Expected goals are 0.63 for Sporting San José and 1.15 for Escorpiones — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sporting San José vs Escorpiones?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (19%). Double chance for Sporting San José or draw is 52%.