Sporting San José vs Inter San Carlos Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Costa Rica) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 02:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (COSTA RICA)
Sporting San José vs Inter San Carlos
Model pick: Inter San Carlos (35%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.04 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sporting San José | Inter San Carlos |
|---|
| League position | #4 (8 pts) | #5 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1.0 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.0 | 1.25 / 1.0 |
*Sporting San José shown at home, Inter San Carlos shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sporting San José — last 5
DLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Inter San Carlos — last 5
LDWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sporting San José (home) | Inter San Carlos (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (1.5 / 0.5 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.0 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 50% |
Primera Division (Costa Rica) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.7
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Primera Division (Costa Rica) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.04 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Sporting San José or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Inter San Carlos or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Sporting San José clean sheet | 35% |
| Inter San Carlos clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Inter San Carlos is the model's most likely outcome at
35%. Despite playing away, Inter San Carlos edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sporting San José vs Inter San Carlos — FAQ
Who will win Sporting San José vs Inter San Carlos?
Our statistical model makes Inter San Carlos the most likely result at 35%. Full probabilities: Sporting San José 34%, draw 30%, Inter San Carlos 35%.
Will both teams score in Sporting San José vs Inter San Carlos?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sporting San José vs Inter San Carlos?
Expected goals are 1.04 for Sporting San José and 1.06 for Inter San Carlos — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sporting San José vs Inter San Carlos?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Sporting San José or draw is 64%.