Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolome Mitre Prediction & Preview
Argentino A (Argentina) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO A (ARGENTINA)
Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolome Mitre
Model pick: Draw (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.67 – 0.6
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 27%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sportivo Belgrano | Bartolome Mitre |
|---|
| League position | #1 (30 pts) | #2 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 44% | 29% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.2 / 1.6 | 0.4 / 1.6 |
*Sportivo Belgrano shown at home, Bartolome Mitre shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sportivo Belgrano — last 5
DDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
Bartolome Mitre — last 5
LLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sportivo Belgrano (home) | Bartolome Mitre (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-4-1 in 9 (1.2 / 0.6 goals per game) | 2-2-3 in 7 (0.9 / 0.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 33% |
Argentino A (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.95
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 36%
Use these Argentino A (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.67 vs 0.6):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (28%) |
| Double chance — Sportivo Belgrano or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Bartolome Mitre or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 59% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Sportivo Belgrano clean sheet | 55% |
| Bartolome Mitre clean sheet | 51% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (73% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolome Mitre — FAQ
Who will win Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolome Mitre?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Sportivo Belgrano 32%, draw 39%, Bartolome Mitre 28%.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolome Mitre?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolome Mitre?
Expected goals are 0.67 for Sportivo Belgrano and 0.6 for Bartolome Mitre — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sportivo Belgrano vs Bartolome Mitre?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (28%). Double chance for Sportivo Belgrano or draw is 72%.