Sroda vs Stargard Szczeciński Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Sroda vs Stargard Szczeciński
Model pick: Draw (75%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.19 – 0.04
Total goals: 0.2
Over 2.5: 3%
Both teams score: 10%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sroda | Stargard Szczeciński |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Sroda shown at home, Stargard Szczeciński shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sroda — last 5
LLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Stargard Szczeciński — last 5
LWWDL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sroda (home) | Stargard Szczeciński (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 59% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.19 vs 0.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (79%) |
| Double chance — Sroda or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Stargard Szczeciński or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 20% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Sroda clean sheet | 96% |
| Stargard Szczeciński clean sheet | 83% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
75%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (97% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Sroda vs Stargard Szczeciński — FAQ
Who will win Sroda vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 75%. Full probabilities: Sroda 20%, draw 75%, Stargard Szczeciński 5%.
Will both teams score in Sroda vs Stargard Szczeciński?
The model gives a 10% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sroda vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Expected goals are 0.19 for Sroda and 0.04 for Stargard Szczeciński — about 0.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sroda vs Stargard Szczeciński?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (79%). Double chance for Sroda or draw is 97%.