St. Pölten vs A. Salzburg Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
St. Pölten vs A. Salzburg
Model pick: St. Pölten (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.52 – 1.08
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| St. Pölten | A. Salzburg |
|---|
| League position | #15 (0 pts) | #2 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 1.0 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 1.4 |
*St. Pölten shown at home, A. Salzburg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
St. Pölten — last 5
WLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
A. Salzburg — last 5
WWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | St. Pölten (home) | A. Salzburg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 50% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.52 vs 1.08):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — St. Pölten or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — A. Salzburg or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| St. Pölten clean sheet | 34% |
| A. Salzburg clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
St. Pölten is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. St. Pölten are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ St. Pölten vs A. Salzburg — FAQ
Who will win St. Pölten vs A. Salzburg?
Our statistical model makes St. Pölten the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: St. Pölten 45%, draw 27%, A. Salzburg 28%.
Will both teams score in St. Pölten vs A. Salzburg?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in St. Pölten vs A. Salzburg?
Expected goals are 1.52 for St. Pölten and 1.08 for A. Salzburg — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in St. Pölten vs A. Salzburg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for St. Pölten or draw is 73%.