St. Pölten vs Austria Wien II Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
St. Pölten vs Austria Wien II
Model pick: St. Pölten (58%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.95 – 0.89
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| St. Pölten | Austria Wien II |
|---|
| League position | #12 (0 pts) | #13 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*St. Pölten shown at home, Austria Wien II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
St. Pölten — last 5
WDLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Austria Wien II — last 5
DLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | St. Pölten (home) | Austria Wien II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 60% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.95 vs 0.89):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — St. Pölten or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Austria Wien II or draw (X2) | 38% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| St. Pölten clean sheet | 41% |
| Austria Wien II clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
St. Pölten is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. St. Pölten are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ St. Pölten vs Austria Wien II — FAQ
Who will win St. Pölten vs Austria Wien II?
Our statistical model makes St. Pölten the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: St. Pölten 58%, draw 23%, Austria Wien II 19%.
Will both teams score in St. Pölten vs Austria Wien II?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in St. Pölten vs Austria Wien II?
Expected goals are 1.95 for St. Pölten and 0.89 for Austria Wien II — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in St. Pölten vs Austria Wien II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (11%). Double chance for St. Pölten or draw is 83%.