St. Pauli II vs Bremer Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
St. Pauli II vs Bremer
Model pick: St. Pauli II (83%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.34 – 0.6
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| St. Pauli II | Bremer |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 3.25 | 0.5 / 2.75 |
*St. Pauli II shown at home, Bremer shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
St. Pauli II — last 5
WDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Bremer — last 5
DLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | St. Pauli II (home) | Bremer (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.34 vs 0.6):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — St. Pauli II or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Bremer or draw (X2) | 12% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| St. Pauli II clean sheet | 55% |
| Bremer clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
St. Pauli II is the model's most likely outcome at
83%. St. Pauli II are backed at home, where they average 5.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ St. Pauli II vs Bremer — FAQ
Who will win St. Pauli II vs Bremer?
Our statistical model makes St. Pauli II the most likely result at 83%. Full probabilities: St. Pauli II 83%, draw 11%, Bremer 5%.
Will both teams score in St. Pauli II vs Bremer?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in St. Pauli II vs Bremer?
Expected goals are 3.34 for St. Pauli II and 0.6 for Bremer — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in St. Pauli II vs Bremer?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (12%). Double chance for St. Pauli II or draw is 96%.