Staal Jorpeland vs Haugesund 2 Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 17, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Staal Jorpeland vs Haugesund 2
Model pick: Haugesund 2 (85%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.46 – 9.02
Total goals: 12.5
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Staal Jorpeland | Haugesund 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.67 / 4.33 | 2.33 / 2.0 |
*Staal Jorpeland shown at home, Haugesund 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Staal Jorpeland — last 5
LLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Haugesund 2 — last 5
DLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Staal Jorpeland (home) | Haugesund 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.67
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 78%
BTTS: 68%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.46 vs 9.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-8 (6%) |
| Double chance — Staal Jorpeland or draw (1X) | 15% |
| Double chance — Haugesund 2 or draw (X2) | 92% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Staal Jorpeland clean sheet | 0% |
| Haugesund 2 clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Haugesund 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
85%. Despite playing away, Haugesund 2 edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 12.5, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Staal Jorpeland vs Haugesund 2 — FAQ
Who will win Staal Jorpeland vs Haugesund 2?
Our statistical model makes Haugesund 2 the most likely result at 85%. Full probabilities: Staal Jorpeland 8%, draw 7%, Haugesund 2 85%.
Will both teams score in Staal Jorpeland vs Haugesund 2?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Staal Jorpeland vs Haugesund 2?
Expected goals are 3.46 for Staal Jorpeland and 9.02 for Haugesund 2 — about 12.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Staal Jorpeland vs Haugesund 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-8 (6%). Double chance for Staal Jorpeland or draw is 15%.