Staal Jorpeland vs Mandalskameratene Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Staal Jorpeland vs Mandalskameratene
Model pick: Mandalskameratene (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.07 – 3.97
Total goals: 7.0
Over 2.5: 88%
Both teams score: 79%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Staal Jorpeland | Mandalskameratene |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 3.8 | 2.4 / 2.2 |
*Staal Jorpeland shown at home, Mandalskameratene shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Staal Jorpeland — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Mandalskameratene — last 5
WLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Staal Jorpeland (home) | Mandalskameratene (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.58
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 79%
BTTS: 69%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.07 vs 3.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-3 (5%) |
| Double chance — Staal Jorpeland or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Mandalskameratene or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Staal Jorpeland clean sheet | 2% |
| Mandalskameratene clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mandalskameratene is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Despite playing away, Mandalskameratene edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 7.0, this shapes as an open game (88% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Staal Jorpeland vs Mandalskameratene — FAQ
Who will win Staal Jorpeland vs Mandalskameratene?
Our statistical model makes Mandalskameratene the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Staal Jorpeland 31%, draw 17%, Mandalskameratene 52%.
Will both teams score in Staal Jorpeland vs Mandalskameratene?
The model gives a 79% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Staal Jorpeland vs Mandalskameratene?
Expected goals are 3.07 for Staal Jorpeland and 3.97 for Mandalskameratene — about 7.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Staal Jorpeland vs Mandalskameratene?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-3 (5%). Double chance for Staal Jorpeland or draw is 45%.