Stabæk vs Ranheim Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Stabæk vs Ranheim
Model pick: Stabæk (60%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.38 – 1.51
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 65%
Both teams score: 67%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stabæk | Ranheim |
|---|
| League position | #1 (39 pts) | #9 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.1 / 1.0 | 1.9 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 88% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 4.2 / 1.0 | 2.4 / 3.2 |
*Stabæk shown at home, Ranheim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stabæk — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Ranheim — last 5
LLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 63% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stabæk (home) | Ranheim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 7-0-1 in 8 (3.1 / 1.0 goals per game) | 2-0-6 in 8 (1.9 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 63% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.11
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.38 vs 1.51):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Stabæk or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Ranheim or draw (X2) | 43% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Stabæk clean sheet | 22% |
| Ranheim clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stabæk is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Stabæk are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (65% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stabæk vs Ranheim — FAQ
Who will win Stabæk vs Ranheim?
Our statistical model makes Stabæk the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Stabæk 60%, draw 19%, Ranheim 20%.
Will both teams score in Stabæk vs Ranheim?
The model gives a 67% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Stabæk vs Ranheim?
Expected goals are 2.38 for Stabæk and 1.51 for Ranheim — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stabæk vs Ranheim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Stabæk or draw is 76%.