Stabaek 2 vs Staal Jorpeland Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Stabaek 2 vs Staal Jorpeland
Model pick: Stabaek 2 (80%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.38 – 1.44
Total goals: 5.8
Over 2.5: 81%
Both teams score: 65%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stabaek 2 | Staal Jorpeland |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 1.25 | 2.75 / 4.25 |
*Stabaek 2 shown at home, Staal Jorpeland shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stabaek 2 — last 5
DDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Staal Jorpeland — last 5
LLWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stabaek 2 (home) | Staal Jorpeland (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 68%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.38 vs 1.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Stabaek 2 or draw (1X) | 93% |
| Double chance — Staal Jorpeland or draw (X2) | 16% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Stabaek 2 clean sheet | 24% |
| Staal Jorpeland clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stabaek 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. Stabaek 2 are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.8, this shapes as an open game (81% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stabaek 2 vs Staal Jorpeland — FAQ
Who will win Stabaek 2 vs Staal Jorpeland?
Our statistical model makes Stabaek 2 the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: Stabaek 2 80%, draw 11%, Staal Jorpeland 9%.
Will both teams score in Stabaek 2 vs Staal Jorpeland?
The model gives a 65% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Stabaek 2 vs Staal Jorpeland?
Expected goals are 4.38 for Stabaek 2 and 1.44 for Staal Jorpeland — about 5.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stabaek 2 vs Staal Jorpeland?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-1 (7%). Double chance for Stabaek 2 or draw is 93%.