Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona Prediction & Preview
Challenge League (Switzerland) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CHALLENGE LEAGUE (SWITZERLAND)
Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona
Model pick: Rapperswil-Jona (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.31 – 1.61
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stade Nyonnais | Rapperswil-Jona |
|---|
| League position | #9 (0 pts) | #7 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.4 | 2.2 / 2.2 |
*Stade Nyonnais shown at home, Rapperswil-Jona shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stade Nyonnais — last 5
LLDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 19% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
Rapperswil-Jona — last 5
LWDWL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stade Nyonnais (home) | Rapperswil-Jona (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 19% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 55% |
Challenge League (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.04
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Challenge League (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.31 vs 1.61):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Stade Nyonnais or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Rapperswil-Jona or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Stade Nyonnais clean sheet | 20% |
| Rapperswil-Jona clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rapperswil-Jona is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Rapperswil-Jona edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona — FAQ
Who will win Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona?
Our statistical model makes Rapperswil-Jona the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Stade Nyonnais 35%, draw 24%, Rapperswil-Jona 41%.
Will both teams score in Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona?
Expected goals are 1.31 for Stade Nyonnais and 1.61 for Rapperswil-Jona — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Stade Nyonnais or draw is 56%.