Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain Prediction & Preview
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGUE 1 (TUNISIA)
Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain
Model pick: Draw (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.72 – 0.69
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 30%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stade Tunisien | Club Africain |
|---|
| League position | #13 (1 pts) | #1 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 0.4 |
*Stade Tunisien shown at home, Club Africain shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stade Tunisien — last 5
LDWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 52% of the time; 27% of home games go over 2.5.
Club Africain — last 5
WDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 43% of the time; 21% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stade Tunisien (home) | Club Africain (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 52% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 21% |
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.98
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 37%
Use these Ligue 1 (Tunisia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.72 vs 0.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (24%) |
| Double chance — Stade Tunisien or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Club Africain or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 62% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Stade Tunisien clean sheet | 50% |
| Club Africain clean sheet | 49% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (70% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain — FAQ
Who will win Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Stade Tunisien 32%, draw 37%, Club Africain 31%.
Will both teams score in Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain?
Expected goals are 0.72 for Stade Tunisien and 0.69 for Club Africain — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (24%). Double chance for Stade Tunisien or draw is 70%.