Stadeln vs Ammerthal Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 16:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Stadeln vs Ammerthal
Model pick: Stadeln (82%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.97 – 1.01
Total goals: 5.0
Over 2.5: 75%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stadeln | Ammerthal |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 2.4 |
*Stadeln shown at home, Ammerthal shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stadeln — last 5
DWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Ammerthal — last 5
LWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stadeln (home) | Ammerthal (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.16
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.97 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Stadeln or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — Ammerthal or draw (X2) | 13% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Stadeln clean sheet | 36% |
| Ammerthal clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stadeln is the model's most likely outcome at
82%. Stadeln are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.0, this shapes as an open game (75% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stadeln vs Ammerthal — FAQ
Who will win Stadeln vs Ammerthal?
Our statistical model makes Stadeln the most likely result at 82%. Full probabilities: Stadeln 82%, draw 11%, Ammerthal 7%.
Will both teams score in Stadeln vs Ammerthal?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Stadeln vs Ammerthal?
Expected goals are 3.97 for Stadeln and 1.01 for Ammerthal — about 5.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stadeln vs Ammerthal?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (7%). Double chance for Stadeln or draw is 95%.