Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy
Model pick: Tychy (57%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.09 – 0.99
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 22%
Both teams score: 22%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stal Stalowa Wola | Tychy |
|---|
| League position | #2 (0 pts) | #3 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Stal Stalowa Wola shown at home, Tychy shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stal Stalowa Wola — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Tychy — last 5
DWDDW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stal Stalowa Wola (home) | Tychy (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 0% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.74
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.09 vs 0.99):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (34%) |
| Double chance — Stal Stalowa Wola or draw (1X) | 40% |
| Double chance — Tychy or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 63% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Stal Stalowa Wola clean sheet | 37% |
| Tychy clean sheet | 91% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tychy is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Despite playing away, Tychy edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (78% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy — FAQ
Who will win Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy?
Our statistical model makes Tychy the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Stal Stalowa Wola 5%, draw 38%, Tychy 57%.
Will both teams score in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy?
The model gives a 22% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy?
Expected goals are 0.09 for Stal Stalowa Wola and 0.99 for Tychy — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Tychy?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (34%). Double chance for Stal Stalowa Wola or draw is 40%.