Stanway vs Carshalton Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Stanway vs Carshalton
Model pick: Carshalton (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.38 – 1.39
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stanway | Carshalton |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.33 / 2.33 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
*Stanway shown at home, Carshalton shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stanway — last 5
DLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Carshalton — last 5
LDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stanway (home) | Carshalton (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.38 vs 1.39):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (24%) |
| Double chance — Stanway or draw (1X) | 37% |
| Double chance — Carshalton or draw (X2) | 90% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Stanway clean sheet | 25% |
| Carshalton clean sheet | 68% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Carshalton is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, Carshalton edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Stanway vs Carshalton — FAQ
Who will win Stanway vs Carshalton?
Our statistical model makes Carshalton the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Stanway 12%, draw 29%, Carshalton 59%.
Will both teams score in Stanway vs Carshalton?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Stanway vs Carshalton?
Expected goals are 0.38 for Stanway and 1.39 for Carshalton — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stanway vs Carshalton?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (24%). Double chance for Stanway or draw is 37%.