Start vs Fredrikstad Prediction & Preview
Eliteserien (Norway) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ELITESERIEN (NORWAY)
Start vs Fredrikstad
Model pick: Start (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.09 – 1.19
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Start | Fredrikstad |
|---|
| League position | #16 (10 pts) | #11 (17 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 1.9 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 14% | 12% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 0.4 / 2.0 |
*Start shown at home, Fredrikstad shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Start — last 5
WLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 23% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
Fredrikstad — last 5
LLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Start (home) | Fredrikstad (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-3-3 in 7 (0.9 / 1.9 goals per game) | 1-1-6 in 8 (0.8 / 2.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 23% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 55% |
Eliteserien (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.99
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Eliteserien (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.09 vs 1.19):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Start or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Fredrikstad or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Start clean sheet | 30% |
| Fredrikstad clean sheet | 34% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Start is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Start are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Start vs Fredrikstad — FAQ
Who will win Start vs Fredrikstad?
Our statistical model makes Start the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Start 39%, draw 28%, Fredrikstad 33%.
Will both teams score in Start vs Fredrikstad?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Start vs Fredrikstad?
Expected goals are 1.09 for Start and 1.19 for Fredrikstad — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Start vs Fredrikstad?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Start or draw is 62%.