Stendal vs Wismar Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Stendal vs Wismar
Model pick: Wismar (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.32 – 1.34
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stendal | Wismar |
|---|
| League position | #6 (1 pts) | #4 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 2.25 | 0.67 / 3.33 |
*Stendal shown at home, Wismar shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stendal — last 5
LLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Wismar — last 5
LLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stendal (home) | Wismar (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.32 vs 1.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (25%) |
| Double chance — Stendal or draw (1X) | 37% |
| Double chance — Wismar or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Stendal clean sheet | 26% |
| Wismar clean sheet | 73% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wismar is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, Wismar edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stendal vs Wismar — FAQ
Who will win Stendal vs Wismar?
Our statistical model makes Wismar the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Stendal 11%, draw 30%, Wismar 59%.
Will both teams score in Stendal vs Wismar?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Stendal vs Wismar?
Expected goals are 0.32 for Stendal and 1.34 for Wismar — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stendal vs Wismar?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (25%). Double chance for Stendal or draw is 37%.