Stenungsunds vs Herrestads AIF Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Stenungsunds vs Herrestads AIF
Model pick: Stenungsunds (72%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.28 – 1.17
Total goals: 4.4
Over 2.5: 71%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Stenungsunds | Herrestads AIF |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 3.0 / 1.5 |
*Stenungsunds shown at home, Herrestads AIF shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Stenungsunds — last 5
LDWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Herrestads AIF — last 5
WWDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Stenungsunds (home) | Herrestads AIF (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.14
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.28 vs 1.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Stenungsunds or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Herrestads AIF or draw (X2) | 22% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Stenungsunds clean sheet | 31% |
| Herrestads AIF clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Stenungsunds is the model's most likely outcome at
72%. Stenungsunds are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.4, this shapes as an open game (71% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Stenungsunds vs Herrestads AIF — FAQ
Who will win Stenungsunds vs Herrestads AIF?
Our statistical model makes Stenungsunds the most likely result at 72%. Full probabilities: Stenungsunds 72%, draw 15%, Herrestads AIF 12%.
Will both teams score in Stenungsunds vs Herrestads AIF?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Stenungsunds vs Herrestads AIF?
Expected goals are 3.28 for Stenungsunds and 1.17 for Herrestads AIF — about 4.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Stenungsunds vs Herrestads AIF?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (8%). Double chance for Stenungsunds or draw is 90%.